Small sizes plentiful and large fruit scarce. What's happening with prices in the US?
The Mexican harvest began with a high presence of small fruit, while the lower supply of large sizes widened the price gap.
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The Mexican harvest began with a high presence of small fruit, while the lower supply of large sizes widened the price gap.
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Mexico is making its way forward due to the lower participation of Peru and California, which are adjusting the end of their seasons under different strategies.
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Avobook and Associação Abacates do Brasil join forces to promote Brazilian origin through key market information and greater global visibility.
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Chile begins its exports with 10 initial shipments, prioritizing Europe as the main destination and Latin America in second place.
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Peru registers 995 shipments dispatched in week 32, reaffirming its leadership in Europe by representing 85% of the volume.
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With lower arrival volumes, the Chinese market is registering a 75% price increase, doubling the values of last season.
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Europe maintains stable volumes with Peru leading the way, while Colombia prepares its first shipments of the main season.
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An atypical drop in shipments marks the US due to an operational slowdown, while smaller calibers regain value against the .48 caliber.
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Sebastián de la Cuadra analyzes how the dynamics of calibers explain the price gap between the US and Europe.
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Both states begin 2026 with higher shipments than in previous years, maintaining the U.S. as their main destination.
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Peruvian shipments adjust their global outputs and reduce the weekly volume shipped to Europe to the lowest level since week 16.
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The Asian market is registering a strong rebound in the receipt of Peruvian shipments, recovering prices in medium sizes.
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Europe slightly increased its revenue, driven by African origins, with upticks in large calibers in Rotterdam.
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The North American market maintains a stable volume driven by Mexican fruit, while size 48 retains its value gap.
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The decline in Peruvian supply marks the lowest point of the year in China, anticipating the arrival of Chilean fruit in September.
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The massive Mexican supply and the entry of new competitors put downward pressure on the prices of .48 caliber during the first 6 months of the year.
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The Netherlands leads European reception, the United Kingdom and Germany boost demand, and Peru accounts for 91% of the volume.
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China leads growth in Asia, Japan consolidates stability, and South Korea maintains steady expansion in the first half of the year.
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Peruvian shipments have been slowing for five consecutive weeks, redirecting volumes towards Europe while Chile shows recovery in its shipments.
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Following the adjustment in the receipt of Peruvian volumes, the Chinese market is registering a slight increase in prices for medium sizes in anticipation of the South American volume in September.
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Europe is slightly increasing its imports, while Peruvian imports are consolidating their dominance, and medium-sized vessels are leading the price charts in Rotterdam and Spain.
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The North American market maintains a stable volume driven by Mexico, while size 48 is twice as valuable as small fruits after a general drop in prices.
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Peru led shipments to Europe in the first half of 2026, while Colombia marked the largest expansion.
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Mexico and Peru led the world supply of Hass avocados in the first half of 2026, with Michoacán reaching 38,400 containers.
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Peruvian international shipments continue their downward trend, redirecting most of their volume towards Europe in anticipation of the Chilean season.
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Following the increase recorded in the previous week, the Chinese market is slowing its inflow and adjusting the prices of sizes 18 to 24 downwards.
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Europe slightly increases its arrivals while Peruvian origin consolidates its dominance and medium formats lead the prices.
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The North American market maintains a slight increase in volume driven by Mexico, while the lower availability of large fruit drives up prices for size 48.
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Chile sets a three-year record for avocado imports from Peru, although the larger volume puts downward pressure on prices.
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Medium and small avocado sizes are gaining value in the US and Europe in the face of commercial pressure from large sizes.
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The 2026-2027 Mexican avocado season kicks off with fruit from the wild flower, a better balance of sizes, and stable prices in the U.S.
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With an early harvest and a stable supply, Jalisco is consolidating its position in the Canadian market in anticipation of high demand in the summer of 2026.
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Peruvian avocados face a key month of volume concentration and climatic dilemmas before the end of their campaign.
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Oniel Núñez Guzmán's analysis details how seasonality avoids direct competition and connects the campaigns of both avocado origins.
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While China shows volatility and slowdown, the South Korean market is consolidating itself as a stable and attractive destination for exporters.
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The European market is stabilizing its arrivals below 1,000 containers per week while Spain is bringing forward its campaign closing.
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While Mexico maintains its leadership in the U.S. avocado market, California is consolidating its position as the main complementary source during the transition between harvests. Avobook data also shows a later entry of Peruvian suppliers and a sharp drop in shipments from Colombia compared to 2025.
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Lower supply from Mexico drives up avocado prices in the US, causing size 48 to double in value in just three weeks.
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The strong flow of avocados from Mexico will lead the US market in 2026, reordering the share of other global origins.
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After weeks of various movements, the key issues of this week could be summarized under the name of "stability and expectations," because it is the situation that best describes the two largest avocado markets: the United States and Europe.
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Record in Europe: 21,500 containers of avocados enter in 23 weeks, putting downward pressure on large sizes and upward pressure on small sizes.
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Mexican avocado volumes reach historic levels and prices face constant pressure.
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The 2026 season has shown narrower price differences between sizes compared to previous years. However, Europe is beginning to show increased pressure on larger sizes, while the United States maintains a more balanced pricing structure.
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While Peru maintains a strong hold in China, Japan is experiencing a structural change with Jalisco's rise over Michoacán, and Chile continues to gain ground in South Korea in a season marked by strong variations in avocado arrivals and a growing redistribution among suppliers.
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Prices for a 25-pound box remain at almost half of 2025 levels, and the industry anticipates weeks of continued high supply of avocados from Mexico, California, and Peru.
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The increase is due to the return of more typical volumes from Peru, after a 2025 season marked by low revenues.
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