Market report
Avocado prices double in the US
Lower supply from Mexico drives up avocado prices in the US, causing size 48 to double in value in just three weeks.
The US avocado market experienced one of the steepest price increases in recent years. The gradual decline in shipments from Mexico triggered a rapid price surge, causing several sizes to double in price in just a few weeks.
The most representative case is that of size 48, considered the main benchmark for the sector. Between weeks 19 and 22, avocado prices rose from US$30 to US$63 per box, an increase of 110%.
The explanation behind this behavior lies mainly in supply: Mexican shipments have been steadily decreasing, resulting in less fruit availability and upward pressure on prices.
Why did avocado prices double in the US market ?
Avocado prices doubled in the US avocado market due to a rapid reduction in Mexican shipments, resulting in a lower available supply that boosted the value of key sizes by 110% in just three weeks.
While price increases during this time of year are not a new phenomenon, the speed recorded in 2026 does mark a difference compared to recent seasons. Price increases were also observed in 2024, although much more gradual, with size 48 going from US$48 to US$71 between weeks 21 and 26. In contrast, the opposite occurred in 2025, with prices falling from US$58 as stock increased. This comparison shows that the sector is now reacting with greater intensity and sensitivity to reduced supply.
Annual comparative chart of the price of size 48 avocados from Mexico in the Texas market for the years 2024, 2025 and 2026.
Price impact according to size: From Caliber 48 to 84
The increase wasn't limited to a specific segment. All sizes saw significant price increases: sizes 32, 36, and 40 led the gains with a 143% price increase, followed by size 70, which rose 129%. The benchmark size 48 advanced 110%, while size 84 showed the smallest change, with an 85% increase.
Annual comparative chart of the price of size 48 avocados from Mexico in the Texas market for the years 2024, 2025 and 2026.
What can we expect in the coming weeks?
For now, the scenario suggests that prices will remain high as long as Mexican fruit continues its downward trend. However, after such a rapid increase, the market could begin to show signs of stabilization.
If supply increases again, prices could fall. Even so, analysts consider it unlikely that prices will quickly return to the levels seen before the recent rally.
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