Peru doubles its avocado shipments to Chile

Avocado imports to Chile are projected to increase significantly in 2026 compared to the same period in 2025, driven primarily by higher shipments of Peruvian fruit. According to Avobook's data team, a clear acceleration in weekly arrivals has been observed since week 14, with volumes nearly doubling the previous year's figures in several weeks.

During peak periods, the Chilean market has consistently received between 140 and 155 trucks or containers per week, levels considerably higher than those observed in 2025. This recovery marks a significant change in supply dynamics, especially as Peru once again plays a central role in the supply available to Chile during its trade window.

The increased volume also has repercussions on the domestic market. Greater fruit availability typically puts pressure on the wholesale channel, where prices may adjust to facilitate turnover. This, in turn, could be passed on to retailers through promotions or lower prices for the end consumer, especially during the weeks with the highest concentration of arrivals.

A growth that should be interpreted with caution

Although the year-on-year comparison shows a significant jump, the analysis requires context. The 2025 season was considered atypical due to its low import levels for much of the period, so the strong growth in 2026 does not necessarily reflect a structural expansion of Chilean consumption.

Rather, a significant part of the increase is due to a normalization of Peruvian supply. In that sense, current volumes appear to align better with the historical patterns that Chile traditionally follows during Peru's supply window.

Therefore, the main takeaway is not only that Peru is exporting twice as much as last year, but also that the Chilean market appears to be recovering to more typical supply levels. The situation in the coming weeks will be crucial in determining whether this increased supply is absorbed smoothly or if it further pressures wholesale and retail prices.