Gary Clevenger
California Avocado Market | Super Bowl Promotion Window
USA
Super Bowl LX will take place on February 8, 2026, at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, California. For avocados, the Big Game is the most important promotional and showcase window of the year: party purchases drive unit movement, and shoppers often buy multiple avocados for guacamole and entertaining.
Why does the Big Game become a promotional window?
– Home entertainment concentrates demand into a single weekend, creating a planned purchase of "party baskets".
– Retailers focus on competitive pricing and large displays, which tends to expand the total volume of the category (not just change the share).
Avocados are a central element for guacamole, so marketing them near chips, limes, and salsa ingredients helps drive multi-unit purchases.
Super Bowl 2026 Shopping Scale
– 213.1 million American adults plan to watch the game.
– 121.1 million plan to organize or attend a party.
– Total spending is expected to be $20.2 billion.
Retail performance of avocados during Big Game week

The weeks of the Big Game often combine high unit movement with an aggressive average selling price due to promotions in advertisements and secondary displays.
Summary of the 2025-26 offer (Mexico)
– Avocados From Mexico projects importing £2.5 billion for the 2025-26 season, with £280 million for the Big Game period alone.
– That scale makes early preparation, maturation capacity, and rapid restocking during game week a key focus for trading.
What does this mean? (data-based conclusions)
– The week of the Big Game is consistently a peak unit event (51.9M -> 62.3M -> 64.9M units in recent summaries).
– Promotions boost the stack: higher units are often combined with a lower average selling price, confirming that buyers respond to the combination of price and display.
– The merchandising mix is important: bags/small ones tend to drive value volume, while large fruit supports "hero" displays and secondary locations.
– Inventory execution and maturity are crucial in the 48-hour window prior to the game: lost sales are difficult to recover after the weekend.
Gary Clevenger
Freska Produce International, LLC
gary@freskaproduce.com