Harvesting activity increased last week, with nearly 15 million pounds of avocados picked, one of the largest weekly volumes of the season so far. This brings the total harvested volume to date to 92 million pounds, putting the industry on track for the seasonal forecast.

Increasing inventories

- Total available inventory: 20.2 million pounds

- Cold storage trend: Stable with good condition reports

- Market concern: Inventory must move quickly to avoid price compression as volume continues to increase

Cinco de Mayo: critical sales moment

Retail and foodservice buyers are increasing their commitments in preparation for Cinco de Mayo promotions, a major driver of annual demand. This is expected to help clear excess volume and support stable market conditions through May.

Size distribution - current crop breakdown

Here is the current size profile of packaging in California:

- 60s: 33%

- 48s: 30%

- 70s: 18%

- 40s and older: 12%

- 84s and smaller: 7%

Market Summary - Week ending April 20, 2025

FOB prices for Conventional Hass (25 lb boxes):

- 48s: $69.25-$70.25

- 60s: $59.25-$60.25

- 70s: $45.25-$47.25

FOB Prices for Organic Hass:

- 48s: $84.25-$86.25

- 60s: $70.25-$73.25

The market remains strong as buyers anticipate demand for promotions. Fruit is arriving quickly, and the Cinco de Mayo promotions couldn't have come at a better time.

Looking ahead:

- Another harvest of 12-15 million pounds is expected in the next 7-10 days

- Monitor remaining inventory after Cinco de Mayo for signs of oversupply

- The Mother's Day/Memorial Day demand window will be closely monitored

Until next week, stay cool!

Gary Clevenger Freska Produce International, LLC gary@freskaproduce.com