Festivities impact the supply and demand dynamics of avocados, and large sizes continue to lead.
The last week of the year closes with figures that reflect the complexities of a dynamic market. At the end of week 51, the United States reported the arrival of 1,225 containers and trucks of avocados, marking a slight increase of 6% compared to the previous week. However, the picture changes when compared to the same period last year, which reflects a 15% drop.
The market is dominated by Mexico, which remains the main supplier with a 92% share. However, Colombia has shown growth, doubling its shipments compared to the previous week and reaching a significant 6%. The Dominican Republic has also had a notable presence, representing almost 2% of imports, an atypical figure attributed to the holidays that affect Mexican production.
Columnists Sergio Paz and Antonio Villaseñor agree that the reduced harvest and the holidays for producers and packers in Mexico have limited shipments to the U.S. market. However, the impact of these conditions has not dampened optimism surrounding prices, which remain high, driven by demand that exceeds available supply, especially for smaller sizes.
In terms of prices, this week saw widespread increases across almost all sizes. Larger sizes, such as those in the 32 to 40 range, barely registered a 1% increase, approaching the all-time high reached in weeks 26 and 27, when the price for a 25-pound box reached $71. On the other hand, medium and small sizes, such as the 60 and 70, have been the main drivers, with significant increases of 11% and 16%, respectively.
The temporary increase in Colombian shipments could reverse in weeks 1 and 2 of 2025, given the logistical delays inherent in transit times. In contrast, Mexico, due to its proximity to the United States, responds more immediately to market fluctuations, which could consolidate its dominant position once the holidays are over.
See the full breakdown of figures and weekly trends in the global avocado market, with updated data from all origins and markets. Access the Avobook Premium Report for Week 51. Subscribe at avobook.com!
