After weeks of decline, avocado prices are beginning to recover in the United States.
During the close of week 43, the U.S. avocado market showed slight fluctuations in import flows, although it maintains a higher level of activity than last year. According to estimates, a total of 1,586 shipments—including trucks and containers—arrived in the country, a figure that represents a 1% decrease compared to the previous week, but 15% higher than the same period in 2024.
Mexico remains the dominant player, accounting for 93% of the market share. The remaining volume is distributed among California (4%), the Dominican Republic (1%), and Chile (1%), with marginal shares from other origins. Even so, significant variations were observed in the weekly data: California increased its shipments by 35%, the Dominican Republic by 25%, and Chile by 6%, while Mexico reduced its shipments by 2%, in line with seasonal supply adjustments.
For their part, Colombia and Peru continue to have a very low participation, without a competitive presence compared to the main origins that supply the North American market.
Regarding prices, data from week 44 reflects a general rebound after several weeks of declines. The improvements are concentrated especially in larger sizes (32 to 40), where an average increase of 17% was recorded, while prices for other sizes rose between 5% and 6%. A clear trend has not yet emerged, but the market is beginning to show signs of recovery.
Among the voices in the sector, Antonio Villaseñor highlighted that of the 3,000 tons per week that Mexico exports to destinations outside the United States, approximately 50% goes to Canada, 25% to Central America, and the rest is distributed between Asia, Europe, and the Middle East.
Sergio Paz noted that while some rain is still falling, rainfall in Mexican avocado-producing regions has decreased considerably, marking the beginning of the final phase of the season. According to the specialist, the rainy season was positive and consistent across the main avocado-growing regions, contributing to the fruit's quality in recent months.
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