The close of week 22 in the U.S. avocado market was marked by a slight decrease in the total number of shipments received, but also by significant shifts in the market share of exporting countries. According to the latest figures, 1,364 shipments entered the country, representing a 5% decrease compared to the previous week. However, the overall volume has remained relatively stable in recent weeks.

Mexico continues to lead the market with a clear hegemony, contributing 58% of total avocado shipments this week. California follows, accounting for 20% of shipments, although this state experienced a sharp 30% drop in volume. Peru, meanwhile, continues to solidify its position as an increasingly important player, increasing its share to 17%, a 10% increase compared to the previous week. Colombia completes the mix with 5% and a 7% weekly increase.

Regarding prices by caliber, quotes have remained relatively stable for the larger sizes. The .48 caliber stood out with a 5% increase, matching the value of the larger calibers. In contrast, the .70 caliber suffered a sharp drop of 21%, while the .60 caliber showed no significant changes.

From the United States, specialist Gary Krevenger pointed out that the high temperatures forecast for the coming days could accelerate the harvest in California, as a preventive measure to avoid losses due to over-ripening, which could lead to an early end to the Californian season.

In Mexico, experts paint a more optimistic picture. Antonio Villaseñor highlighted that the start of the rainy season arrived at an opportune time, which will allow for improved size and production volume for the 2025-2026 cycle. Similarly, Sergio Paz stated that in the producing regions of Jalisco and Michoacán, rainfall has been intense and beneficial, which bodes well for fruit development in the upcoming season.

In summary, week 22 was marked by a readjustment in the distribution of avocado origins that supply the US market, with a significant drop in Californian volume, sustained growth from Peru and Colombia, and weather conditions that are already beginning to shape the outlook for the next season.

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