Mexico leads a sharp increase in shipments to the United States as prices continue to fall

The U.S. avocado market closed week 39 with intense activity. A total of 1,636 shipments were recorded, including both container and truckloads, representing a 26% increase over the previous week and a 20% increase compared to the same period last year. The majority of the volume—86%—came from Mexico, followed by California and Peru, each with 7%, while the Dominican Republic and Colombia contributed just over 1% combined.

Growth was primarily driven by Mexico, which increased its volume by 38% compared to the previous week. In contrast, California maintained similar levels to the previous week, while Peru and Colombia showed a sharp decline in their shipments.

Regarding prices, the market showed a general downward trend. Larger gauges, between 32 and 40, were the most affected, with an average drop of 13%. Smaller gauges also saw declines, although to a lesser extent. Only the 48 gauge showed a slight increase of 5%, while the 60 gauge remained unchanged.

From a market analysis perspective, Antonio Villaseñor highlighted that the caliber curve has normalized, with the largest volume concentrated in caliber 48, one of the most in-demand sizes in the U.S. retail market. For his part, Sergio Paz noted that the third quarter of 2025 closed with the highest volume of Mexican exports to the United States since shipments began, reaffirming the country's leadership in the North American market.

Paz added that at this stage there is an overlap between the "crazy" fruit and the first fruit of the season, known as "early," a common phenomenon that historically affects price stability.

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