Mexico consolidates its leadership in the United States, and large calibers lose ground.

The U.S. avocado market closed the week with 1,437 shipments, a 9% decrease compared to the previous period, although still 16% higher than the same period last year. The supply picture shows a clear leader: Mexico accounted for 95% of the weekly volume, followed at a distance by California with 3%, while the remaining origins barely reached 1% or less. During the week, shipments declined in almost all origins—Mexico fell 8%—with one exception: Colombia increased its shipments by 150%, although its share still does not reach 1%.

In terms of prices, the pressure was felt at the higher end, among the larger sizes. Sizes 32 to 40 saw a combined drop of 11% compared to the previous week. Sizes 48 and 60 followed the trend, but with more moderate declines of around 5%. At the lower end of the curve, size 70 remained unchanged, while size 84 rebounded slightly, with a weekly increase of nearly 6%. This behavior suggests an adjustment due to a relative abundance of larger fruit, while small and very small sizes are finding some support in demand.

When asked about the price floor compared to last season, analyst Antonio Villaseñor emphasizes that the challenge is no longer just one of supply, but also of consumption. “It is essential to continue promoting the market and encouraging an increase in annual consumption, since all origins are increasing their supply,” he points out.

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