Mexico consolidates its dominance in the US market while Peru withdraws from the competition

The U.S. avocado market closed the week with 1,459 shipments, representing an 8% decrease compared to the previous week and a 12% decrease compared to the same period in 2024. Despite this slight contraction, Mexico reinforced its absolute leadership, reaching 90% of imports. The remainder of the market is divided among California, with 7%, Peru with 2%, and marginal shares from Colombia, Chile, and the Dominican Republic, each with less than 1%.

The overall decline in volumes was consistent across all origins, although the most pronounced drop was recorded in Peru, with 52% fewer weekly shipments. Mexico, on the other hand, showed a more moderate reduction of 6%, although it remains the key player in supplying the US market. The Peruvian season is now in its final phase, with increasingly smaller volumes and an almost symbolic presence compared to Mexico's dominance.

Regarding prices, the trend was mixed. Larger gauges maintained their value, while higher-turnover gauges showed notable increases: 70 gauge rose 16%, and 48 and 60 gauges saw increases of nearly 10%. The only downward adjustment was observed in 84 gauge, with a slight drop of 3%.

Weather conditions remain favorable in Mexico's main coffee-growing regions. According to analyst Sergio Paz, the rains have benefited flowering and fruit development, although rainfall is expected to begin decreasing in October. "You could say we had a good rainy season this year," he noted.

For his part, Antonio Villaseñor highlighted that during July, August, and September, the U.S. market registered a record weekly supply of avocados, reflecting the dynamism of domestic consumption. The specialist anticipates that demand will continue to grow in the coming months, driven by the consistent availability and strength of the Mexican supply.

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