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Mexico is losing ground in the US avocado market as supply from other origins increases

At the close of week 26, the U.S. avocado market recorded the arrival of 1,435 shipments, including trucks and containers. This figure represents a 9% decrease compared to the previous week and a 3% decrease compared to the same week last year.

Regarding weekly market share by origin, Mexico fell to 48% of the total, losing its traditional leadership of over half the market. Peru held 23%, followed closely by California with 21%, while Colombia contributed the remaining 8%.

Among the most notable changes in the origin of shipments, California increased its share by 15% compared to the previous week. Mexico, meanwhile, experienced a significant reduction of 23%, marking what appears to be the final week of its export season. Peru remained stable in its volumes, while Colombia increased its shipments by 25%.

In terms of prices, the market showed no major variations compared to the previous week. However, the expectation is that the increasing supply from California, Peru, and Mexico will lead to market saturation, with fruit of varying dry matter content and quality, according to Gary Clevenger, who warns of inconsistencies in the available products.

Antonio Villaseñor provided a worrying piece of data: the yield per hectare in Mexico was 7.5 tons, the lowest average recorded during an export season to the United States.

For his part, Sergio Paz emphasized the differences in the size curve between the mature fruit—in its final stage—and the new fruit. He indicated that in the recently harvested fruit, sizes 40 and above are practically nonexistent, and that even size 48 will have a significantly smaller representation compared to the mature fruit.

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