United States: Volumes fall 18% in week 38, although they remain 12% above 2024 levels

The U.S. avocado market closed week 38 with a decline in arrival volumes. A total of approximately 1,300 shipments entered the country, of which 78% originated in Mexico, 11% in Peru, 8% in California, and 2% in Colombia, while other origins accounted for less than 1%. This figure reflects an 18% drop compared to the previous week, although it is still 12% higher than the volume recorded during the same period in 2014.

Variations by origin showed marked contrasts. California was the most affected with a 27% reduction, followed by Mexico, which decreased by 19%. In contrast, Colombia reported a 26% increase compared to the previous week, although its share of the US market remains limited.

In terms of prices, the downward trend continued for another week. Values contracted between 5% and 7% overall, with larger sizes—from 32 to 40—registering the most moderate decline of 2%. Size 48, however, again showed the greatest downward pressure: it is trading at less than half the value reached during the same week last year. In fact, the price parity between sizes, from 48 to 84, confirms the structural weakness of the market.

Analyst Antonio Villaseñor emphasized that high inventories in the United States continue to be the factor preventing a price recovery. “Inventory levels in the United States remain high, which gives the market no respite and keeps prices quite low compared to normal,” he noted.

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