The United States receives its largest volume of the year with falling prices in smaller sizes.
Week 13 saw a significant surge in avocado shipments to the US market. With 1,920 shipments recorded, the increase was 23% compared to the previous week and a remarkable 40% higher than the same period in 2024. This is the highest volume recorded so far this year, continuing a trend that strengthens the pace of shipments.
Mexico continues to be the market's dominant player with an 81% share, but this week another player caught the eye: California. The state reached a 15% share, after increasing its shipments by 45% compared to the previous week, a clear sign that its season is starting to pick up steam. Meanwhile, Colombia and Chile, with similar volumes, barely reached 2% each, both showing a decrease compared to week 12 levels.
But while volume is increasing, prices haven't kept pace. This week, all sizes saw declines, with the smaller ones being the hardest hit. Size 84 fell by 17%, a trend also reflected, though less pronounced, in sizes 70 and 60. The price curve shows a gradual decrease across all sizes, but with the smallest fruits being hit the hardest.
Given this scenario, analyst Sergio Paz's prediction from previous weeks makes sense: the need to maintain active demand for smaller sizes to avoid saturating the market. Pressure on these sizes could continue if there is no change in purchasing behavior, which raises questions about market stability in the coming weeks.
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