This is the calculation of Mario Bazán Alburqueque, general manager of Phartec Produce, based on the climatic conditions that will influence the Olmos harvests.

Peruvian avocados, a key component of the European supply chain, face a season marked by climatic and commercial challenges. This warning comes from Mario Bazán, general manager of the exporting company Phartec Produce, which boasts a broad network of producers. He anticipates a greater concentration of supply between May and July, potentially creating logistical and marketing challenges in the international market.

With a track record of almost ten years in the international trade of agricultural products, Bazán leads a company that works with 150 Peruvian producers, from small farmers to medium-sized producers with extensions of between 40 and 60 hectares.

Phartec Produce, which operates exclusively with fruit from third parties, plans to export around 170 containers of Hass avocados this season, mainly supplying the European market, a continent that is primarily influenced by Peruvian avocado campaigns.

Disparate climatic conditions

Weather conditions have created an unusual situation in avocado orchards. According to Bazán, some regions, such as the highlands, the south, and parts of the coast, have experienced a reduction in production due to adverse weather events. This impact is most noticeable among small producers, although some medium-sized producers have also reported difficulties.

In contrast, the majority of producers associated with ProHass have shown stability in their production volumes, creating uncertainty about the true national trend. "A clear trend has not yet emerged, which will impact campaign planning," the executive stated.

Production projections and variations in calibers

The first estimates for the 2025 season, presented at the Berlin trade fair, point to a production of approximately 600,000 metric tons, which would mean an increase of 10% compared to 2023 and about 100,000 tons more than in 2024.

However, Bazán explains that, although an increase in the average weight of the fruit has been noted, there is also a lower yield per tree. "We are optimistic, but it is too early to say whether this increase in size will compensate for the reduction in quantity," he clarifies.

Concentration of avocado supply from Peru

Through week 6, export volumes have been lower, partly because the European market still has a supply of good-sized fruit from local and other sources. However, Bazán anticipates a greater concentration of supply between May and July, especially as the orchards in Olmos, which have experienced delays due to lack of water, will coincide with the production in La Libertad.

This scenario presents a challenge for exporters, as a peak in supply over a short period can put pressure on prices and logistics. "It will be a challenging year in which creativity and collaboration with strategic partners will be key," says the manager of Phartec Produce.

The destinations of Phartec Produce avocados

Phartec Produce's main market is Europe, where it supplies supermarket chains in Spain, France, Germany, and Italy. "We have developed a work methodology that allows us to offer a consistent product in terms of quality and reliable service, which has enabled us to consolidate our position in these demanding markets," says Bazán.

To achieve this goal, the company has worked with producers to obtain the required international certifications. “This positions us as a strategic supplier for our clients,” says the general manager of the Peruvian company.