The US receives 1,427 shipments in week 9, and Mexico maintains 96% of the supply

The US avocado market recorded approximately 1,427 shipments arriving in the country during week 9, a figure that represents an 11% decrease compared to the volume observed the previous week and a 4% decrease compared to the same period in 2025.

Supply distribution remains highly concentrated in Mexico, which contributed 96% of the total volume reaching the market. To a lesser extent, California slightly increased its presence, reaching approximately 3% market share, while Colombia accounted for around 1% of the total. Compared to previous weeks, both origins showed notable changes in their relative market share.

Regarding price behavior, week 10 saw widespread increases across all sizes. The most significant increase was observed in size 60, which rose by 14%. Prices for the other sizes increased between 7% and 14%.

Despite these increases, the market's behavior does not yet show a sustained trend, as price increases are usually followed by further declines in the following weeks. Nevertheless, the recent gains reflect a positive movement in market values.

According to columnist Sergio Paz, March could present favorable conditions for the Mexican industry. He notes that California producers will continue to wait, expecting the market to reach higher prices before increasing their market share, which would allow Mexico to maintain its position as the main supplier to the U.S. market for a few more weeks.

Paz also warns that one of the factors that could influence the income of the Mexican industry is the strengthening of the dollar, in a context marked by the geopolitical situation in the Middle East.

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