Mexico accounts for 98%
The US adjusts 1,980 shipments and maintains Mexican dominance
Shipments are down 8% weekly and 1% higher than the 2025 target, with Mexico accounting for 98%. Prices are falling across almost all sizes.
At the close of week 4, the United States saw an estimated 1,980 shipments, down from 2,000 and representing an approximately 8% decrease compared to the previous week. Year-over-year, the volume is 1% higher than the same week last year, remaining at similar levels. The distribution by origin showed no significant changes: Mexico accounted for 98% of the total, while California reached approximately 1%, and the remainder was split between the Dominican Republic and Colombia.
The volume behavior leaves open the observation for the following week, key to measuring the depth of the adjustment, considering that the period after the Super Bowl usually registers significant declines, historically associated with week 6.
In terms of prices, week 5 saw widespread declines. The largest adjustment was observed in size 60, with an 8% drop, while the other sizes fell by around 5%. Larger sizes, between 32 and 40, showed no change.
In his weekly commentary, Antonio Villaseñor noted that record volumes continue to be observed and that, according to estimates, the 2025-2026 season could become the largest harvest and export season since the start of the U.S. market program for Mexico. He added that the dollar-peso exchange rate, with a weak dollar, has impacted export performance.
Remember that the detailed breakdown of each figure and the weekly evolution of global avocado market movements across all markets and origins can be found in the Avobook Premium Report. Subscribe now at avobook.com. 
