Avobook W 26 report shows that, in Europe, Peru is normalizing its number of shipments; and in China, prices for large calibers are falling, in a downward trend in the number of arrivals.

The Avobook W 26 Report is clear on the effects of the temporary ban on the entry of Mexican avocados into the United States: California's market share reached 45%, with 19 million pounds made available to consumers and, as expected, enthusiasm spread from Peru and Colombia to cover part of the reduction in the fruit.

In Peru's case, this meant going from 7.5 million pounds to 9 million, with a strong capacity to respond; while Colombia jumped from 3.2 million to 4.3 million. Mexico holds a quarter of the market, distributing what was already packaged and in inventory, since Michoacán did not harvest any fruit. A return to normalcy is expected in the coming weeks, as the conflict stemming from security issues is resolved. Of course, this will happen with the new harvest of the "loco flower" (a type of fruit), as the one that was in production before the blockade was in its final stage.

The impact on prices was not significant, with only a slight increase in transactions on the farm.

Europe: Peru normalizes its volume and Kenya has quality problems

In Europe, shipments from Peru are experiencing their fourth consecutive week of increased activity, although they haven't reached a record high. This is because the baseline for comparison is the low volume recorded five weeks ago, with no more than 350 containers. Now, shipments are registering just under 500, and this frequency is expected to remain between 450 and 600 in the coming weeks.

Its performance keeps it at 69% of the market, followed by South Africa (12.5%) in a virtual tie with Kenyan shipments (12%). However, quality problems have been reported with fruit from the latter country.

Colombia prioritized sending its avocados to the United States, given the opportunities presented by the situation, but that did not prevent it from capturing 6% of the market – encouraged by good prices – with its 61 shipments, while Brazil is on its way out (1%).

Prices remain stable, according to figures showing transactions in the port area of the Netherlands, and it is clear that talking about Europe is not replicable to what happens in Spain, where the price of Peruvian fruit is high in large sizes and continues to rise in small sizes.

And, be warned, because the glorious start of the European summer threatens avocado consumption, which is usually replaced by seasonal fruits.

China: better prices for small calibers

In China, a clear downward trend in avocado imports is evident. Peru is beginning to reduce its shipments, dropping from 56 to 34, and it is projected that shipments in week 29 will be half of what was sent this week.

The price situation here differs from what was expected, with smaller sizes increasing in value and larger sizes decreasing. In fact, the values of both sizes are now close, a situation that breaks with the overall upward trend of previous weeks.

Chile begins harvesting for the local market

Chile relies on Peru as its main supplier, but this could begin to decrease due to new local harvests that do not have enough dry matter for export, but have been excellent for domestic consumers.

Welcome to the Avobook W 26 Report , with all the data on the global avocado market.