China slows the pace: avocado shipments and prices fall amid erratic weeks

The Chinese avocado market showed signs of slowing this week, with a drop in both shipment volume and prices. Eighty-four shipments arrived from Peru, representing a 15% decrease compared to the previous week. Despite this decline, the volume remains 17% higher than that recorded during the same week last year, suggesting that while demand persists, the pace is not as steady as anticipated.

The price landscape has also been affected. After two consecutive weeks of increases, prices have fallen again. In sizes 18 to 24, a 21% drop was reported, a significant decline that completely reverses the recent positive trend. Year-over-year, the difference is even more pronounced: the current price is 33% lower than that recorded during the same week in 2024.

Beyond the numbers, the logistical behavior of the Chinese market adds a layer of uncertainty. Significant fluctuations in shipment arrivals are anticipated over the next few weeks. For example, only 14 shipments are expected next week, while the following week they could exceed 100. This variability does not follow a clear pattern and appears to be influenced by operational or port-related factors that are not yet fully understood.

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