The U.S. avocado market closed week 42 with a surge in import volumes, registering 1,605 containers and trucks, 10% more than the previous week and 6% higher than the same period last year. Despite the increase, the market structure continues to be dominated almost entirely by Mexico, which accounts for 94% of imports, consolidating its position and leaving little room for other origins.

California, with a 3% share, remains the second largest supplier, while Chile and the Dominican Republic each account for around 1%. Peru and Colombia, meanwhile, represent minimal volumes, with no significant impact on the total.

One of the most significant movements of the week came from Chile, whose volume doubled compared to the previous week, although this increase was overshadowed by the 15% growth in shipments from Mexico. This surge helped offset the declines seen in shipments from Colombia, California, and Peru.

In terms of prices, the outlook remains downward. The decreases affect all sizes, with a particularly strong impact on smaller sizes. Larger sizes saw declines of around 15%, while the most popular sizes, such as size 84, fell by 21%. Size 70 was the most affected, with a 23% reduction compared to the previous week.

According to analyst Antonio Villaseñor, “smaller sizes are now facing the greatest difficulties in finding a market,” a sign of adjustments in demand and the lingering impact of high supply levels. Similarly, Gary Clevenger, a California producer, noted that “Mexico’s promotional activity is helping to keep the fruit moving,” although he acknowledged that the industry is still feeling the effects of the excess product accumulated in previous months.

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