Colombia slows down the pace of exports

And in week 42, Colombia slows down its export pace. This week, the pressure on medium and small sizes, which we could say characterize Colombian exports, is starting to be felt a bit more.

For the past four weeks, we've been seeing a rate of over 100 containers per week, with approximately 80% destined for Europe and the remainder for the United States. These figures are quite similar to those recorded during the same weeks in 2025, with one key difference: the average of 130 containers leaving the country were destined entirely for the European market.

Based on statistics and historical trends, we have observed that avocado prices begin to decline starting with arrivals in week 43. And it appears this year will be no exception. Evidence of this is that purchase offers from exporters between weeks 40 and 42 have decreased by approximately 20%.

With these adjustments, we could be talking about an average price of $3,282 per kilo, assuming that 100% of the processed fruit is exported and that it is fully certified. Regarding the size distribution, small fruit remains quite prevalent, representing 50%; medium fruit accounts for 40%, and large fruit for 10%, as a general overview.

Purchase prices are around $5,100 per kilo for large sizes, $3,500 for medium sizes, and $1,800 for small sizes. This situation is causing some exporters to begin reducing fruit intake, and consequently, export volumes are also being affected.

On the other hand, the dollar fell by 3% and the euro by 7%. This currency behavior, coupled with price adjustments and pressure on smaller sizes, may lead producers to decide to wait a little longer before harvesting, hoping to find better market conditions later.

We remain very active, considering the different scenarios that could arise in the face of short-term geopolitical, logistical, and climate challenges. The question is how the end of 2026 will unfold, how the Colombian 2026/27 season is projected to conclude, and what the potential consequences of El Niño might be for next year's races.

That's all the information we have so far. The rest, for now, is developing news.

This week we'll tell you what's being said about the US market since IFPA 2026.

See you later!

Jorge Molina Duque
Operations Manager, Quality Studio CO
jorge.molina@qualitystudio.cl
Colombia